BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1 Class Rank: 36 Overall: (20-13) Overall Strength = 51.08
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (11-8) | District: 1-01 Record: (13-11)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-08-2023 Home W 58.43 102 49 1 353 ( 6- 24) Gardner Webb 7.35 * 45.65
2 11-12-2023 Home W 40.94 74 70 1 93 ( 18- 8) Davidson -10.14 14.14
3 11-15-2023 Home W 39.71 62 32 1 341 ( 3- 26) Hampton -11.36 * 41.36
4 11-18-2023 Home W 44.83 68 39 1 284 ( 11- 21) Elon -6.24 * 35.24
5 11-24-2023 Neutral W 34.53 54 51 1 153 ( 25- 12) Vermont -16.54 19.54
6 11-25-2023 Neutral L 51.25 56 63 1 16 ( 26- 8) Kansas St 0.17 -7.17
7 11-26-2023 Neutral L 44.29 64 65 1 60 ( 29- 5) Florida Gulf Coast -6.79 5.79
8 11-30-2023 Home L 65.84 58 65 1 1 ( 38- 0) South Carolina 14.76 -21.76
9 12-06-2023 Home W 37.47 81 66 1 224 ( 21- 12) UNC Greensboro -13.60 * 28.60
10 12-10-2023 Neutral L 56.11 64 76 1 2 ( 33- 6) Connecticut 5.03 -17.03
11 12-15-2023 Home W 66.82 96 36 1 350 ( 6- 24) W Carolina 15.74 * 44.26
12 12-19-2023 Neutral W 62.60 61 52 1 27 ( 23- 10) Oklahoma 11.52 -2.52
13 12-31-2023 Home W * 44.19 82 76 1 80 ( 12- 19) Clemson -6.89 12.89
14 01-04-2024 Home W * 71.41 75 51 1 41 ( 24- 8) Syracuse 20.33 3.67
15 01-07-2024 Away W * 69.13 61 57 1 8 ( 28- 7) Notre Dame 18.05 -14.05
16 01-11-2024 Away L * 44.67 62 70 1 42 ( 23- 11) Florida St -6.40 -1.60
17 01-14-2024 Home W * 56.03 81 68 1 56 ( 16- 16) Virginia 4.95 8.05
18 01-18-2024 Away W * 50.64 73 68 1 69 ( 17- 16) Georgia Tech -0.43 5.43
19 01-21-2024 Home W * 63.17 79 68 1 24 ( 24- 10) Louisville 12.09 -1.09
20 01-25-2024 Home W * 49.82 66 61 1 51 ( 19- 12) Miami FL -1.25 6.25
21 01-28-2024 Away L * 33.32 66 81 1 56 ( 16- 16) Virginia -17.75 2.75
22 02-01-2024 Away L * 59.13 59 63 1 10 ( 31- 7) NC State 8.05 -12.05
23 02-04-2024 Home L * 45.34 61 70 1 1 21 ( 25- 8) Virginia Tech -5.74 -3.26
24 02-11-2024 Away L * 52.56 60 68 1 1 17 ( 22- 12) Duke 1.48 -9.48
25 02-15-2024 Home W * 43.01 75 62 1 144 ( 8- 24) Pittsburgh -8.06 21.06
26 02-18-2024 Away W * 46.98 58 50 1 115 ( 7- 25) Wake Forest -4.09 12.09
27 02-22-2024 Home W * 67.84 80 70 1 10 ( 31- 7) NC State 16.76 -6.76
28 02-25-2024 Away L * 47.63 62 74 1 21 ( 25- 8) Virginia Tech -3.45 -8.55
29 02-29-2024 Away L * 41.02 74 78 1 74 ( 14- 19) Boston College -10.06 6.06
30 03-03-2024 Home W * 59.26 63 59 1 17 ( 22- 12) Duke 8.19 -4.19
31 03-07-2024 Neutral L * 46.47 59 60 1 51 ( 19- 12) Miami FL -4.61 3.61
32 03-22-2024 Neutral W 59.95 59 56 1 22 ( 22- 9) Michigan St 8.88 -5.88
33 03-24-2024 Away L 31.13 41 88 1 1 ( 38- 0) South Carolina -19.95 -27.05
Averages 51.08 67.8 62.5
Best game: 71.41 = 24 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 31.13 = 47 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev: 11.05